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Insolation-driven changes in atmospheric circulation over the past
116,000 years in subtropical Brazil
Cruz et al. Nature
Vol. 434, No. 7029, pp. 63 - 66, 3 March 2005.
During the last glacial period, large millennial-scale temperature
oscillations-the 'Dansgaard/Oeschger' cycles-were the primary
climate signal in Northern Hemisphere climate archives
from the high latitudes to the tropics. But whether the
influence of these abrupt climate changes extended to the tropical
and subtropical Southern Hemisphere, where changes in insolation
are thought to be the main direct forcing of climate, has
remained unclear. Here we present a high-resolution oxygen
isotope record of a U/Th-dated stalagmite from subtropical
southern Brazil, covering the past 116,200 years. The oxygen
isotope signature varies with shifts in the source region and
amount of rainfall in the area, and hence records changes in
atmospheric circulation and convective intensity over South
America. We find that these variations in rainfall source and
amount are primarily driven by summer solar radiation, which is
controlled by the Earth's precessional cycle. The Dansgaard/
Oeschger cycles can be detected in our record and therefore we
confirm that they also affect the tropical hydrological cycle,
but that in southern subtropical Brazil, millennial-scale
climate changes are not as dominant as they are in the Northern
Hemisphere.
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Highly variable Northern Hemisphere
temperatures reconstructed from
low- and high-resolution proxy data
Moberg et al. Nature
Vol. 433, No. 7026, pp. 613 - 617, 10 February 2005.
A number of reconstructions of millennial-scale climate variability
have been carried out in order to understand patterns of
natural climate variability, on decade to century timescales, and
the role of anthropogenic forcing. These reconstructions have
mainly used tree-ring data and other data sets of annual to
decadal resolution. Lake and ocean sediments have a lower
time resolution, but provide climate information at multicentennial
timescales that may not be captured by tree-ring data.
Here we reconstruct Northern Hemisphere temperatures for
the past 2,000 years by combining low-resolution proxies with
tree-ring data, using a wavelet transform technique to achieve
timescale-dependent processing of the data. Our reconstruction
shows larger multicentennial variability than most previous
multi-proxy reconstructions, but agrees well with temperatures
reconstructed from borehole measurements and with
temperatures obtained with a general circulation model.
According to our reconstruction, high temperatures - similar
to those observed in the twentieth century before 1990-
occurred around AD 1000 to 1100, and minimum temperatures
that are about 0.7K below the average of 1961-90 occurred
around AD 1600. This large natural variability in the past suggests
an important role of natural multicentennial variability that is
likely to continue.
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High-latitude influence on the eastern equatorial Pacific climate in the early Pleistocene epoch
Liu and Herbert Nature
Vol. 427, No. 6976, pp. 720 - 723, 19 February 2004.
Many records of tropical sea surface temperature and marine
productivity exhibit cycles of 23 kyr (orbital precession) and
100 kyr during the past 0.5Myr, whereas high-latitude
sea surface temperature records display much more pronounced
obliquity cycles at a period of about 41 kyr. Little is
known, however, about tropical climate variability before the
mid-Pleistocene transition about 900 kyr ago, which marks the
change from a climate dominated by 41-kyr cycles (when ice-age
cycles and high-latitude sea surface temperature variations were
dictated by changes in the Earth’s obliquity) to the more recent
100-kyr cycles of ice ages. Here we analyse alkenones from marine
sediments in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean to reconstruct
sea surface temperatures and marine productivity over the past
1.8Myr. We find that both records are dominated by the 41-kyr
obliquity cycles between 1.8 and 1.2Myr ago, with a relatively
small contribution from orbital precession, and that early Pleistocene
sea surface temperatures varied in the opposite sense to
local annual insolation in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.
We conclude that during the early Pleistocene epoch, climate
variability at our study site must have been determined by
high-latitude processes that were driven by orbital obliquity
forcing.
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An unusually active Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11,000 years.
Solanki et al. Nature
Vol. 431, No.7012, pp.1084-1087, 28 October 2004.
Direct observations of sunspot numbers are available for the past
four centuries, but longer time series are required, for example,
for the identification of a possible solar influence on climate and
for testing models of the solar dynamo. Here we report a
reconstruction of the sunspot number covering the past 11,400
years, based on dendrochronologically dated radiocarbon concentrations.
We combine physics-based models for each of the
processes connecting the radiocarbon concentration with sunspot
number. According to our reconstruction, the level of solar
activity during the past 70 years is exceptional, and the previous
period of equally high activity occurred more than 8,000 years
ago. We find that during the past 11,400 years the Sun spent only
of the order of 10% of the time at a similarly high level of
magnetic activity and almost all of the earlier high-activity
periods were shorter than the present episode. Although the
rarity of the current episode of high average sunspot numbers
may indicate that the Sun has contributed to the unusual climate
change during the twentieth century, we point out that solar
variability is unlikely to have been the dominant cause of the
strong warming during the past three decades.
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Stable sea surface temperatures in the western Pacific warm pool
over the past 1.75 million years
de Garidel-Thoron et al. Nature
Vol. 433, No.7023, 20 January 2005.
About 850,000 years ago, the period of the glacial cycles changed
from 41,000 to 100,000 years. This mid-Pleistocene climate
transition has been attributed to global cooling, possibly caused
by a decrease in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations.
However, evidence for such cooling is currently restricted to the
cool upwelling regions in the eastern equatorial oceans,
although the tropical warm pools on the western side of the
ocean basins are particularly sensitive to changes in radiative
forcing. Here we present high-resolution records of sea surface
temperatures spanning the past 1.75 million years, obtained from
oxygen isotopes and Mg/Ca ratios in planktonic foraminifera
from the western Pacific warm pool. In contrast with the eastern
equatorial regions, sea surface temperatures in the western
Pacific warm pool are relatively stable throughout the Pleistocene
epoch, implying little long-term change in the tropical net
radiation budget. Our results challenge the hypothesis of a
gradual decrease in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations
as a dominant trigger of the longer glacial cycles since 850,000
years ago. Instead, we infer that the temperature contrast across
the equatorial Pacific Ocean increased, which might have had a
significant influence on the mid-Pleistocene climate transition.
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Grape ripening as a past climate indicator
Chuine et al. Nature
Vol. 432, No.7015, 18 November 2004.
French records of grape-harvest dates in
Burgundy were used to reconstruct
spring-summer temperatures from
1370 to 2003 using a process-based phenology
model developed for the Pinot Noir
grape. Our results reveal that temperatures
as high as those reached in the 1990s have
occurred several times in Burgundy since
1370. However, the summer of 2003
appears to have been extraordinary, with
temperatures that were probably higher
than in any other year since 1370.
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Antarctic Timing of Surface Water Changes off Chile and Patagonian Ice Sheet Response.
Lamy et al. Science
Vol. 304, No. 5679, pp.1959-1962, 25 June 2004.
Marine sediments from the Chilean continental margin are used to infer
millennial-scale changes in southeast Pacific surface ocean water properties
and Patagonian ice sheet extent since the last glacial period. Our data
show a clear "Antarctic" timing of sea surface temperature changes, which
appear systematically linked to meridional displacements in sea ice, westerly
winds, and the circumpolar current system. Proxy data for ice sheet
changes show a similar pattern as oceanographic variations offshore, but
reveal a variable glacier-response time of up to ~1000 years, which may
explain some of the current discrepancies among terrestrial records in
southern South America.
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What's New for 2004:
-
Data from Jones and Mann Reviews of Geophysics , "Climate Over Past Millennia."
- Data from Huang, Geophysical Research Letters ,
"Merging Information from Different Resources for New Insights into Climate Change in the Past and Future"
- Data from Cook et al., Science,
"Long-Term Aridity Changes in the Western United States"
- Data from North Greenland Ice Core Project members, Nature,
"High-resolution record of Northern Hemisphere climate extending into the last interglacial period"
- Data from Stott et al., Nature,
"Decline of surface temperature and salinity in the western tropical Pacific Ocean in the Holocene epoch."
- Data from EPICA Community Members, Nature ,
"Eight glacial cycles from an Antarctic ice core"
- A Paleo Perspective on Abrupt Climate Change
- Data from Felis et al., Nature,
"Increased seasonality in Middle East temperatures during the last interglacial period. "
- Data from Yuan et al., Science,
"Timing, Duration, and Transitions of the Last Interglacial Asian Monsoon."
- Data from Schmidt et al., Nature,
"Links between salinity variation in the Caribbean and North Atlantic thermohaline circulation "
- Data from Hughen et al., Science,
"14C Activity and Global Carbon Cycle Changes over the Past 50,000 Years"
- Data from Flückiger et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles ,
"N2O and CH4 variations during the last glacial epoch: Insight into global processes "
- Data from Genty et al., Nature,
"Precise dating of Dansgaard-Oeschger climate oscillations in western Europe from stalagmite data "
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What's New for 2003:
-
Data from Ge et al., Holocene,
"Winter half-year temperature reconstruction for the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River and Yangtze River, China, during the past 2000 years."
- Data from Williams et al., Ecological Monographs ,
"Late Quaternary vegetation dynamics in North America: scaling from taxa to biomes"
- Spanish Version of Paleo Perspectives and Educational Outreach
- Data from Booth and Jackson, Holocene,
"A high-resolution record of late-Holocene moisture variability from a Michigan raised bog, USA"
- Data from Lea et al., Science,
"Synchroneity of Tropical and High-Latitude Atlantic Temperatures over the Last Glacial Termination"
- International Multiproxy Paleofire Database
- Data from Bar-Matthews et al., Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta ,
"Sea-land oxygen isotopic relationships from planktonic foraminifera and speleothems in the Eastern Mediterranean
region and their implication for paleorainfall during interglacial intervals"
- Data from Pahnke et al., Science ,
"340,000-Year Centennial-Scale Marine Record of Southern Hemisphere Climatic Oscillation"
- Data from Mann and Jones, Geophysical Research Letters ,
"Global Surface Temperatures over the Past Two Millennia"
- Data from Tan et al., Geophysical Research Letters ,
"Cyclic rapid warming on centennial-scale revealed by a 2650-year stalagmite record of warm season temperature"
- Data from Ammann et al., Geophysical Research Letters ,
"A monthly and latitudinally varying volcanic forcing dataset in simulations of 20th century climate"
- Data from Cobb et al., Nature,
"El Niño/Southern Oscillation and tropical Pacific climate during the last millennium"
- Data from D'Arrigo et al., Geophysical Research Letters ,
"Tree-ring reconstructions of temperature and sea-level pressure variability associated with the warm-season Arctic Oscillation since AD 1650"
- Data from Graumlich et al., Climatic Change ,
"Upper Yellowstone River Flow and Teleconnections with Pacific Basin Climate Variability during the Past Three Centuries"
- Data from Touchan et al., International Journal of Climatology ,
"Preliminary reconstructions of spring precipitation in southwestern Turkey from tree-ring width"
- Data from Cook et al., International Journal of Climatology ,
"Dendroclimatic Signals in Long Tree-Ring Chronologies from the Himalayas of Nepal"
- Data from Friddell et al., Geophysical Research Letters ,
"Increased northeast Pacific climatic variability during the warm middle Holocene"
- Data from Hantemirov and Shiyatov, Holocene ,
"A continuous multimillennial ring-width chronology in Yamal, northwestern Siberia"
- Data from McCulloch et al., Nature,
"Coral record of increased sediment flux to the inner Great Barrier Reef since European settlement"
- Data from Mann et al., Journal of Geophysical Research -Atmospheres ,
"Optimal Surface Temperature Reconstructions Using Terrestrial Borehole Data"
- The Climate TimeLine Information Tool
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What's New for 2002:
- Data from Woodhouse et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society ,
"Drought in the Western Great Plains, 1845-56: Impacts and Implications"
- Data from Ni et al., International Journal of Climatology,
"Cool-season precipitation in the southwestern USA since AD 1000: comparison of linear and nonlinear techniques for reconstruction"
- Data from Moore et al., Nature,
"Climate change in the North Pacific region over the past three centuries"
- Data from Noren et al., Nature ,
"Millennial-scale Storminess Variability in the Northeastern United States during the Holocene Epoch"
- Data from Moy et al., Nature ,
"Variability of El Niño/Southern Oscillation activity at millennial timescales during the Holocene epoch"
- Data from Thompson et al., Science ,
"Kilimanjaro Ice Core Records: Evidence of Holocene Climate Change in Tropical Africa"
- Data from Yang et al., Geophysical Research Letters,
"General characteristics of temperature variation in China during the last two millennia."
- New WDC-Paleo Mirror Sites in China and India
- Data from St. George and Nielsen, Quaternary Research ,
"Hydroclimatic change in southern Manitoba
since A.D. 1409 inferred from tree rings."
- Data from Cook et al., Journal of Climate ,
"A Well-Verified, Multiproxy Reconstruction of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation Index since A.D. 1400"
- Data from Benson et al., Quaternary Science Reviews ,
"Holocene multidecadal and multicentennial droughts affecting Northern California and Nevada"
- Data from Anderson et al., Science ,
"Increase in the Asian SW Monsoon During the Past Four Centuries"
- Data from Lloyd and Fastie, Climatic Change ,
"Spatial and temporal variability in the growth and climate response of treeline trees in Alaska"
- Data from Lamy et al., Paleoceanography ,
"High- and low-latitude climate control on the position of the southern Peru-Chile Current during the Holocene."
- Data from Viau and Gajewski, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmosphere ,
"Holocene variations in the global hydrological cycle quantified by objective gridding of lake level databases"
- Data from Schuster et al., Environmental Science and Technology ,
"Atmospheric Mercury Deposition during the Last 270 Years: A Glacial Ice Core Record of Natural and Anthropogenic Sources"
- New Additions to the Software Library: PALYHELP and Arand.
- Data from Flückiger et al., Global Biogeochemical Cycles ,
"High-resolution Holocene N2O ice core record and its relationship
with CH4 and CO2"
- Data from Jones et al., Science ,
"The Evolution of Climate Over the Last Millennium"
- Data from Luterbacher et al., Atmospheric Science Letters,
"Extending North Atlantic Oscillation reconstructions back to 1500"
- Data from Briffa et al., Journal of Geophysical Research,
"Low-frequency Temperature Variations from a Northern Tree Ring Density Network"
- Data from Andrus et al., Science ,
"Otolith d18O
Record of Mid-Holocene Sea Surface Temperatures in Peru"
- Data from Hendy et al., Science ,
"Abrupt Decrease in Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Salinity at End of Little Ice Age"
- Data from Garcia et al., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,
"Atmospheric Circulation Changes in the Tropical Pacific Inferred from the Voyages of the Manila Galleons in the Sixteenth - Eighteenth Centuries"
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What's New for 2001:
- Data from Luterbacher et al., Climate Dynamics,
"Reconstruction of Sea Level Pressure fields over the eastern North Atlantic and Europe back to 1500 "
- Data from Glueck and Stockton, International Journal of Climatology,
"Reconstruction of the North Atlantic Oscillation, 1429-1983 "
- Data from Tudhope et al. Science,
"Variability in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Through a Glacial-Interglacial Cycle "
- Global Database of Borehole Temperatures and Climate Reconstructions
- Data from Robertson et al. Journal of Geophysical Research ,
"Hypothesized Climate Forcing Time Series
for the Last 500 Years "
- Data from Herbert et al. Science ,
"Collapse of the California Current During Glacial
Maxima Linked to Climate Change on Land "
- Paleotempestology Resource Center
- Data from Bonnefille and Chalié Global and Planetary Change ,
"Pollen-inferred precipitation time-series from equatorial mountains, Africa, the last 40 kyr BP. "
- Data from Pederson et al., Journal of Climate ,
"Hydrometeorological Reconstructions for Northeastern Mongolia Derived from Tree Rings: AD 1651-1995 "
- Australian Institute of Marine Science Great Barrier Reef Coral Data
- WSL-Birmensdorf Global Tree Ring Data Network
- New data from the North American Plant Macrofossil Database
- Data from Thompson et al., Science ,
"A 25,000 year tropical climate history from Bolivian ice cores "
- Data from Thompson et al., Science ,
"Late Glacial Stage and Holocene tropical ice core records from Huascarán, Peru. "
- Data from Monnin et al., Science ,
"Atmospheric CO2 concentrations over
the last glacial termination "
- Data from Blunier and Brook , Science ,
"Timing of millennial-scale climate change in
Antarctica and Greenland during the last glacial period "
- Data from Biondi et al. , Journal of Climate ,
"North Pacific Decadal Climate Variability Since AD 1661 "
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What's New for 2000:
- Data from Hughen et al, Science,
"Synchronous Radiocarbon and Climate Shifts During the Last Deglaciation"
- Data from Felis et al, Paleoceanography,
"A coral oxygen isotope record from the northern Red Sea documenting
NAO, ENSO, and North Pacific teleconnections on Middle East climate
variability since the year 1750.
"
- Data from Mann et al. Earth Interactions,
"Global Temperature Patterns in Past Centuries:
An Interactive Presentation"
- Data from Linsley et al., Science ,
"Decadal Sea Surface Temperature Variability in the Sub-Tropical South Pacific from 1726 to 1997 A.D."
- Data from Urban et al., Nature ,
"Influence of mean climate change on climate variability from a 155-year tropical Pacific coral record."
- North American Drought: A Paleo Perspective
- Data from Crowley Science ,
"Causes of Climate Change Over the Past 1000 Years"
- Data from Rittenour et al., Science ,
"El Niño-like Climate Teleconnections in New England During the Late Pleistocene"
- Data from Indermühle et al., Geophysical Research Letters ,
"Atmospheric CO2 Concentration from 60 to 20 Kyr BP from the Taylor Dome Ice Core, Antarctica"
- Data from Verschuren et al., Nature ,
"Rainfall and drought in equatorial east Africa during the past 1,100 years"
- Data from Fischer et al., Science ,
"Ice Core Records of Atmospheric CO2 Around the Last Three Glacial Terminations"
- Data from Smith et al., Nature ,
"Dual Modes of the Carbon Cycle Since the Last Glacial Maximum"
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What's New for 1998:
- Data from T. Blunier et al, Nature, "Asynchrony of Antarctic and Greenland
Climate Change During the Last Glacial Period"
- Data from Hughen et al, Radiocarbon 39, "A New 14°C Calibration Data
Set for the Last Deglaciation"
- Data from Briffa, Jones, Schweingruber & Osborn, Nature, "Volcanic
Eruptions & N. Hemisphere Summer Temperature"
- Data from Mann, Bradley, & Hughes, Nature, "Global Six Century Temperature
Patterns"
- The Greenland Summit Ice Cores CD-ROM is online!
- Data from Stahle, et al, Science , "The Lost Colony and Jamestown Droughts"
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What's New for 1997:
- Overpeck, et al, Science.
"Arctic Environmental Change of the Last 4 Centuries
- The NOAA NESDIS Drought Variability WWW pages, online
- Version 1.1 of Analyseries - Time Series Analysis
- Report on the PAGES/Clivar Intersection
- Introducing: Educational Outreach, NOAA Paleo Program
- IGBP - Data Information System, WWW pages, online
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What's New for 1996:
- The PALE Search Engine
- Documents from NOAA Paleoclimatology and PAGES are now available on the Web and via FTP
- Contribution Series for paleoclimatic data
- Search Engine for Paleocean Data
- Education Slide Project - Two New Sets: Polar Ice Cores and Rock Varnish
- Pollen Data: Mirror site in Europe at Medias France
- International Tree Ring Data Bank and Display Software
- Site Inventory of Latin American Pollen Database
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What's New for 1995:
- PaleoVu (vers. 1.1) - NOAA Paleoclimatology's browse and visualization tool for
paleoclimate data is now available for Microsoft Windows and Macintosh
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NOAA Paleoclimatology Program
Contact Us
16 March 2005
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